Q21Numerical4 Marks3 Sep 2023
The number of earthquakes in a region follows a Poisson distribution, with an average rate of 0.3 earthquakes per week. What is the probability that there will be no earthquake in the next 14 days? (Note: 1 week = 7 days) (Enter the answer correct to 2 decimal places.) With an average rate of 0.3 earthquakes per week, the mean number of earthquakes in a 2-week period is = 0.3 * 2 = 0.6. Using the Poisson PMF, P(X = k) = e^(- ) * ^k / k!: The probability of zero earthquakes (k = 0) in 14 days is: = e^(-0.6) * 0.6^0 / 0! = e^(-0.6) ≈ 0.5488. Rounding to 2 decimal places gives 0.55 (accepted range: 0.52 to 0.58).
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